My long range weather forecast are going to be a little short range in fits and starts this summer due to factors I don’t control, so apologies to all who perhaps were hoping for this forecast a little earlier.
I expect to see some lovely weather over summer this year, but this wont be guaranteed every week till Autumn!
We have to wait till Jupiter moves into Leo, but this will be heralded by some extreme weather headlines around the middle of July…more of this later perhaps…if I get time.
I can only deliver the first few weeks of summer 2014 long range forecast and have focussed upon the weather for the Tour DE France taking place in the fabulous landscape of Yorkshire this year. Yorkshire has a landscape I have always called Gods own country, so nice to know the local BBC programmers have also started calling it that too in recent years. Cyclists are not going to be disappointed if they lose after encountering some of the most fabulous rolling hills and dales on the planet.
Read on to see what my forecast predicts weather wise, and I can also say that for Leeds, this is a fabulous time astrologically to showcase the city and surrounding areas, as well as to host the start of this much awaited and celebrated sporting event and may I also say I expect a cyclist born within our city limits to arrive as a winner. Good luck!
We can expect some great outdoor weather mostly dry, lots of sunshine around but wind spells can cause a few erratic wind tunnels, particularly on high ground and along valleys in deep rifts 24tth-27th likeliest days for these to arrive, so watch out if cycling down on a practise run from Buttertubs to Grassington.
Potential arrives for scattered and localised electrical breaks to sunshine with hail spurts also expected to some localities.
Highs continue as summer announces the salute to the height of the sun in our hemisphere, on 21st, so get out your bikes to cycle to the stone circles on Ilkley Moor or in Grassington to help celebrate a major seasonal marker. The 21st usually sees a few weather disturbances due to the sun ingressing from one environment to another but precipitations looks more likely to hit the NW Scotland regions, though could arrive to some northern parts of England as days continue.. The 20th could see a few showery outbursts around breakfast but I don’t expect these to linger too long, and could even turn out to be just some mists and clouds.
Generally sunny fair weather with highs of the season to enjoy 24th-27th but as mentioned earlier these could be accompanied by winds as well in exposed areas particularly. 27th could see mists lingering into mid morning.
27th June -5th July
I expect highs for the season to be checked against records for this phase. 30th sees some static build along with heat from former days. There should be some blue skies and good summer weather around but after 3rd things could begin to turn a little cooler.
The chart for this ‘Tour’ phase echoes some of the conditions we dealt with in March/April this year when easterlies brought over pollution from Europe, combining with strong winds fetching sand up from the Sahara. However, it does look as if this time the sands get blown over SE England across to mainland Europe leaving cyclists with better visibility than they would have had with sand in their eyes! I don’t discount the possibility of more pollution blowing over from the east and it does look set to hit east coastal regions. hopefully not hitting the main cycle route.
This phase brings in a tendency for lowering of temps on former week, but I am sure cyclists will welcome less intense heat for their race. I expect longer lasting weather disturbances to grow as the phase continues but fortunately these look set to be at their worst around the 8th after the race has finished.
This phase shows seismicity operating, but this will affect eastern parts of the UK avoiding Cycling routes, or it could manifest as pollution coming in to the east coast regions from Europe.
I have focussed mainly upon race days 5-6th.
5th potential for early morning mists due to warmth lingering, or showers from midnight to before sunrise with some noisy pockets of wind of varying speed, mostly northerly keeping things cool. Potential for varying localised showery conditions for some parts of the Yorkshire region in the morning, for mid morning in W Leeds after the race has set off from the city centre. Weather should be clearer by the afternoon to midnight generally.
6th Again midnight to before sunrise there is potential for showery outbreaks, mists and clouds, so watch out on grassy areas that could be slippy if you are camping out. Mid day brings a risk of more showery outbursts, and mists or clouds could still be lingering near watery places in valleys. The afternoon and evening should see the better conditions with sunshine around.
Temps will be variable but lowering, with varying cloud and sunshine on these two days. Once the showery intervals clear we can expect sun and cloud and some good visibility to watch the race with.
It’s the 8-9th that bring in the worst weather of the phase, but before 12th Full Moon I expect better weather to be turning up.
Hopefully I shall be able to finish the summer long range forecast and publish it soon, watch this space……..