Spring begins early this year as I accurately pointed out in my Winter forecast. While all the mets were waking up to the sudden arrival of extra mild temps mid Feb, waxing lyrical about how some areas had beaten highs for this year, last year, sometime never, astro mets knew it would be an early arrival for this season after centuries of traditional methods observing planetary effects on weather.
Spring 2012 can be defined in a few sentences but lets see if I can narrow it down. We are set to get some wild and windy weather last week in April and first week in May, and these will revisit later in May. There will be some high temps for April. But the best news of all is the lovely weather for June which confirms why it gets the name flaming June. I am about to book my hols for the lovely outlook I have found from 28th May well into June until the 19th when it looks like the good weather gets interrupted by some heavy innundations…….but more of this in the summer forecast later…..
Here is your season ahead of it arriving, and don’t forget you can sign up for a bi monthly forecast delivered to your e mail to ensure you get reminders for each two weeks ahead whenever they are posted on my ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com This way you can always plan ahead for any event or that mini break or else that holiday you have been working hard for.
I offer no guarantees about the weather outcomes, but you can read past forecasts with outcomes on my ukweatherbrief blog to see I often get 100% accuracy, and yet my forecasts are published months before the weather arrives.
A mostly dry phase with sunshine to enjoy though some spartan sudden showery outbreaks of hail or sleet likely 22nd, then 24th and 25th with heavier outburst not likely to arrive till 30th
Temperatures look set to be on the cool side with some biting N W winds adding to coldness of weather and getting gusty and very aggressive at times from 24th
25th sees a break up of sunshine weather with some cloudiness and humidity or mist down in valleys or above watery flows. and easterlies can be a little broody, but sunnier days expected to follow.
26th sees some isolated windy frenzy causing a stir at 48 mph gusts for some localities W Yorks n Yonder, and on 28th some showery outlook late evening with some tornado outbreak likely to SW Midlands region…I’ll be trying to track this outlook.
29th brings warmer temps from sunshine during the day and southerlies more active.
March 31st-April 6th
Outlook is for very cold temps to begin with but sunshine to brighten us up, and some warmer temps by 4th helping us look forward to summer. The windy weather continues and I expect reports of a t/storm to some region of the UK.
31st Strong gusty NW, lashing everything it meets, high speed to some regions. Sunny outlook but temps retaining icy pockets, cloud around but clearing as sun grows stronger by mid day. Potential for quick isolated hail outburst late afternoon
1st – 4th April some cloud around with nippy icy pockets, but lots of sunshine to enjoy by mid day. It’s the winds that create problems during these few days, any showery outbreaks icy cold hail or sleet, look set to arrive around midnight
4th Should see temperatures rising a little, wind still strong and gusty, some sunshine with cloud. Temps on high ground expected to drop to lows.
5th Same as 4th but cloudy or misty start and more cloud around in the evening, quick hail/sleet showers by midnight. Temps getting warmer with humidity around producing some warmer almost tropical outpourings to some regions beyond ours. Winds should be less active by today.
6th Sunny, and looks like the warmest day of all, but some mists and clouds as a result. Some broody easterlies and southerlies warding off the cold pockets of previous days. A misty cloudy start but temps getting much more agreeable as day wears on.
A similar chart to this one occurred in October 2009 when heavy rain arrived giving floods to Scotland. I do expect t/storms to be reported to some regions of the UK.
Well first of all we have the infamous perigee moon that always brings headlines to read about some major weather induced incident…I hesitate to say disaster as I don’t want to follow global warmers who hog headlines with disaster warnings all the time…since Aristotle’s day as it happens….still on with the weather…
This perigee moon gave a me a headache as earlier in February ( the same week I am writing this I might add) when I fully expected good old Scorpio Moon to bring heavy rain if not flooding, I was humiliated by the total drought that ensued!! Yes I VERY ACCURATELY forecast a weather system coming down from Foroyar which it did, and resulted in a high pressure system that blocked the Moon in Scorpio from delivering the floods I expected….Harrumph. I was so annoyed at not expecting this to happen! So much so, that I hesitated to deliver this spring forecast which I was working on at the time, and felt like throwing in the towel on astro forecasting!
I still might have to if I have to resort to using jargon such as high and low pressure and isobars which is not what I want to do.
In spite of the above, there will be some fine weather to enjoy and evenings for this phase usually bring pleasanter conditions, while there will be some windy weather and some rain around–well it is a perigee moon phase…..
Oh and if you are laughing at the fact the moon perigee has anything to do with weather….shame really as there are some immaculate studies that show a significant correlation between high precipitation at the time of perigee moons.
6th as forecast previously
7th Some mists or cloud around, muggy conditions with easterlies and southerlies active keeping conditions seasonally mild outlook is for rain heavy at times for late afternoon with some clearer skies late evening and overnight
8th Some showery outbreaks 3-5 am, unsettled atmosphere with cloudiness around till later in afternoon, temps cooler than yesterday, some sporadic breeziness southerly and westerly for today and tomorrow.
9th Same as yesterday with some potential for sporadic hail and sleet outbreaks. Sun with cloud during day.
10th-11th Cloudy start but sunnier afternoon and evening, temps cool. 11th looks brighter than 10th
12th Sun with cloud around, temps warming up, some easterly breeziness and clear evening skies good for outdoors and gardening or even a stroll…famous last words!
13th Sunshiny start and looks like some nice spring temps remind us summer is just around the corner…easterly breezes keep the warmth notched up.
Looks like a warmer and finer phase, mostly dry with some fair but very wild and windy weather, in fact it does look like gales create headlines with comms systems and transport probs arising, and lots of static around which can manifest as mists, clouds or haziness especially to western areas where warmth will prevail, but the southern areas and our east coast also looks likely to get either sea frets or mistiness too. My weather buddy Caroline down south I believe has even put in some mud slides to brighten up the exciting weather for this phase!! UK Earthquake to SE UK area likely to hit headlines for this phase. I expect temps to get very cold overnight 18th-21st. Some southern regions could get colder blasts than we do.
13th High seasonal temps etc as forecast in previous phase
14th Some cooler temps to yesterday with northerly winds to keep temps lower some clouds but sunshine as well.
15th Clear skies till sunrise when clouds form then clearer by mid day potential for rainy spells 9-11pm. Seasonally average temps today
16th I expect some rain from very early in the morning and potentially around mid day with clouds forming to compete with the Sun. Strong winds expected today keeping temps low to the east but clearer conditions to western parts
where temps could go higher.
17th Cloudy till mid morning, sunnier middle of day as Sun gets higher, some clouds around and temps average to low with NW wins keeping things cool and spring-like.
18th Icy start 1-2 am, very strong blustery winds, blustery and problematic on high transport routes, could be gale force. Humidity set to rise during mid day as sun gets high.
19th Cold overnight again, some cloud to greet the day but clearing by mid day. Whiplash westerlies strong at times, keep everyone on their toes.
20th Clearer skies by mid -day again with winds blowing clouds around allowing sun to shine through bringing average to higher seasonal temps, warding off some cold pockets that still linger in shade or high places. Sporadic gusts to gale force for some exposed regions.
21st I expect baked Alaska conditions today. On the one hand hot on the outside, but icy cool on the inside where the ice cream is! It is an electric blue sky day…or should be..Very powerful NW winds ruling which keeps temps down in exposed areas, the winds look more wild and windy than ever so not a good day for sailing, parachuting or putting out the washing!
Dry, windy, warm and wet….and all weather phase then! Let’s see what all the excitement is about. I do expect some hot weather to encourage us to think ”summer” especially from 27th which looks like we should have a day beside the sea….
Normally a New Moon gives clearer conditions sunrise to sunset, but not always, and by looking more intensively at the planets we can see when that might not happen…if we look carefully!
In May last year we ended a long spell of sunshine with some lovely high temps but an awful drought that thwarted gardeners attempts to grow things. This phase has very similar attributes to that one but will I get the forecast right with the infamous perigee Scorpio Moon being aspected by the apogee New Moon in perfect aspect? Will it remain dry or will it pour it down….read on…no promises….
21st Winds still extremely strong and lively if not high speed gales to some regions especially high and exposed regions…see above for more of the forecast for today.
22nd Easterlies clashing with westerlies today and some humidity or cloud or even mists around, but also some sunny skies. A hazy start, dry day some cloud forming by evening and we could see more sunshine in the afternoon. Seismicity strong today.
23rd I have conflicting info for today on the one hand there seems to be some lowering of temps but it does look as if the sun will be strong enough to bring in some warmth after mid day, it could be sporadic cold gusty winds that keep off the benefit of the heat. Temps should be average to high but some haze and mists outlook for late evening
24th Temps should reach the higher range today bringing a peak for sunshine and heat and I hope I am right that the winds may subside allowing us to enjoy a bit of a sun soak.
25th Rain likely to arrive after the highs of yesterday looks like some showers late evening and could continue in sporadic intervals overnight into tomorrow. But daytime weather looks cool but sunny.
26th Cloudy and potentially rainy day with some clearer spells mid day but showery intervals likely and can be heavy at times, It’s the evening when heavier rain looks more likely.
27th Looks hot again and some good clear and sunny conditions look likely to get established for next couple of days. Some cloud morning and evening for 28th but fine during the day though some whiplash westerlies keep everyone on their toes. The NE and SW look like having the best spots for a day beside the sea.
29th could see some quick spartan showery stuff before sunrise; again expect some gusty westerlies.
29th April-7th May
The theme for this phase is wild and windy, don’t take your sailing boat out, or try flying a kite….good for getting the washing dry or finding all autumn leaves have now been swept away from the garden!
Some unusual weather for this phase with the overtone being wild if not gale force high speed winds causing havoc if not destruction to many UK areas and we will not be able to avoid the centre of this system blowing over.
High humidity is also around with warmth trying to encourage spring plants but causing moisture to rise and break out into cloudbursts. Some mists in valleys due to warmth from sun as well as rising temps but also some sunny weather around to enjoy, though the winds are going to be keeping everyone busy and will not allow much settled enjoyment of what sunny days do arrive.
Scotland and exposed regions to North England gets hit far more violently than us with the wild and windy stuff will need to watch the headlines, and tornado to SW also needs watching for…
29th Early showery outbreaks as previously mentioned along with some whiplash westerlies creating wild conditions outdoors in exposed regions, but some sunshine as well.
30th Humidity begins to accumulate along with strong winds from yesterday continuing, but also some sunnier spells. Lovely blue skies expected by evening when northerlies are most active keeping things cool.
1st Showery outbreaks potential very early around sunrise, temps should rise today as sun gains height in sky, but westerlies are now kicking in with strong and erratic speeds, occasionally gale force or sometime quite fast. Sunshine with varying cloud levels.
2nd Intermittent sporadic showery conditions likely, temps remain seasonally warm in sunny areas, winds very strong to high speed gales especially overnight tonight and continuing into tomorrow.
3rd Seismic outlook so some news of the larger types of EQ for UK around this date, Heavier outbreaks today some will be rain, hail and even sleet, cutting at times. Conditions could be set to get a little milder but this brings potential for mists. Later in the day this should clear and turn into better weather conditions. Winds strong to high speed gales…a stormy outlook with echoes of the blizzards that hit Doncaster November 2010.I do expect the winds for this phase to create some damage and disruption to normal services.
4th The rain will be moving over to eastern parts, leaving us with a better outlook and temps rising to warmer ones, but some cold pockets lurking in shady and exposed areas. Should eventually be a good day for photographers with some electric blue skies. Tornado likely +/- 2-3 days today to SW region of UK.
6-7th 6th looks cool with cloud around clashing with warmer temps of previous days. Southerlies turn into strong easterlies by 7th but the worst of the wild and windy conditions look set to be subsiding but there could be some sporadic showery outbreaks, but good outdoor weather begins to break out and some sunshine to enjoy…..Some mistiness could lurk over valleys and near water 6-7th
There is a tendency for temps to try and rise this phase adding to humidity and some potential for static to build. This is the closest perigee moon of 2012 and being in Scorpio can bring some extreme conditions affecting some regions of the globe. I haven’t taken time out to look at and locate many EQ for this Spring, though my winter forecasts are working very well as I write this in February when my forecast for an EQ In France has come true.
Coolness added to humidity, as summer tries to break through, will breed the static atmosphere which may create some muggy cloudy or misty conditions at the start of the phase. I’m just hoping I’ve balanced the timing and arrival of rising temps with other indications for cold dull weather, combined with some fine conditions trying to pass over our way as well for this phase. It’s such a shame Mercury keeps playing with Saturn as these two cause the duller conditions that interrupt some of the finer weather that otherwise would prevail for this phase, but there will be warmth from the sun its shady areas that keep hold of icy pockets. This kind of weather is when moisture rising in response to heat from the sun creates haziness.
7th Any showery outbreaks arrive early morning some cooler conditions compared to previous days with easterlies producing a little dullness. The Moon in Sagittarius can also bring some sun into play so lets hope there is some around between cloudiness that looks set to develop mid afternoon, the evenings look clearer. Temps rise today and should reach above average with icy pockets left to shady areas.
8th Cold overnight and before sunrise with cloud around or dullness. Showery potential around sunrise, but hopefully some clue sky to come, occasional lively and gusty N Westerlies, lower temps mingling with some warmth from humidity created by rising moisture as sun gets high during daytime, and it should be a fair day with few clouds, though a Full Moon period often allows better skies at night.
9th -12th After 9th looks drier. 9th looks to be the wettest day with N Westerlies trying to ward off any poorer weather and blowing clouds away. We could see better weather from later in the day on 9th continuing for the next 3 days with some mistiness around watery areas as temps rise, but cold pockets to shady areas. Winds are less active and some fine sunshine should be around to chase away any gloominess. Some more mists and/or cloudiness and N Westerlies on 12th…the good news is by 13th…it looks especially lovely and sunny and warm…….
Sometimes you come across configurations that just defy interpretation and I have to confess to being nearly beaten into submission by this quarter moon chart! So many conflicting messages and some of which are new in my experience of looking at charts for the past nine years.
Usually a 3/4 Moon can bring a stormy outlook and this one could be no exception, but whether it hits the W Yorks region is the real issue in my forecasting.
First of all there are many indications of some fine hot weather for this phase, but then again Saturn is casting a glance that seems to break that fine weather showing some gloominess and cloud, spoiling the fine front that otherwise would rule for every day.
On previous occasions the chart display I am looking at has brought one half of high temps and the other half with lower temps, some charts such as in 1st June 2011 brought 1 whole months precipitation to the SE region in 1 day!
2nd December 2009 Severn and Gloucestershire also had floods just prior to the 2nd Dec chart began to be relevant. I can’t see that much rain falling for us this phase, and I do expect some highs, but I don’t rule out some heavy rainfall to some parts of the UK and I think this will be to the western regions perhaps Cumbria or Wales. There will be a t/storm outbreak but again I found this difficult to time or locate, it may not happen in our region.
There will be some mists and haze around as well but the winds are strong at times and any cloud around will not be left to linger long, and mostly I expect some blue skies with some wool packed cloud.
An overview shows low pressure to the south which means the worst of the weather centres down south and the better weather is to the north…
12th as previously described with some occasional gusty NW
13th looks like the hot spot with temps high and a lovely sunny day expected. famous last words perhaps…..some whippy westerlies occasionally gusty and strong from today turning southerly by evening auguring some warmth but also some muggy conditions even mistiness to some parts
14th Temps stay high but it could be a little muggy with easterlies around by late evening. Today is a seismic day so will be watching out for major earthquake to be reported…usually 300 a day around the globe but have you noticed only a few make it to the media.
15th If any rain does arrive then late evening looks like a fairly safe bet after 9pm. Westerlies get gustier and more erratic today for the next three days It does seem as if some high pressure helps us remain dry in our region, but I could be wrong about this, there will be some cloud around.
16th looks fine with some winds as described would continue from yesterday
17th around 9 am another scattered showery outbreak could keep everyone alert but generally it seems to remain a fair outlook with wins still active and easterly flows by late evening brining in some muggy trends. Another rain indicator for around 10-11 pm
18th -20th look drier with temps cooler by 19th and less windy weather, till 20th when some NW come to clear up the confusion and northerlies very strong by late on 20th! Nothing like a northerly for clearing up bad atmospherics! Any rain over these days could be heavier to the east, missing us out completely hopefully but they will provide a fresh atmosphere and even if rain does arrive here it is the kind of rain you like to feel on your face when outdoors.
I shall be watching how this forecast works out very intently and probably wishing I hadn’t continued with the rest of the spring forecast as a result I expect!!
20th May -28th
At first glance I thought this would be a straightforward weather outlook but after reading it the weather turned out to be very busy indeed! This is a phase when normally we could expect nice daytime conditions and any poorer weather to turn up at night but the planets are very active so we can’t take anything for granted just by using one phenomenon alone in forecasting. Here goes, don’t worry I have some lovely weather news for June when you can get the BBQ out and celebrate summer coming in….
20th Expect some sporadic intermittent showery outbreaks at various intervals at start and end of the day especially, hopefully not all day. High humidity and dampness as a disturbed atmospheric outlook prevails. Some sun could break out between cloudiness while the sun is high in the sky. Moderate seasonal temps but rain can lower this to average as it cools the atmosphere
21st Some misty muggy conditions before sunrise but more temperate weather arrives today with temps rising higher than yesterday. Easterlies agree adding to the muggy trend but dryness should prevail.
22nd Some rain around from the morning along with cloudiness and occasional sun spells, but generally fair but windy outlook as day progresses.
23rd Some blue skies around today, moderate to cooler temps range and some clouds also along with some nebulous breeziness.
24th A little breezier than yesterday similar weather to 23rd any rain is expected to come late a night and continue in intervals from early tomorrow.
25th looks like rain arrives in sporadic intervals during today from very early morning and continuing into evening. Lower range temps but high humidity potential for mistiness as well with winds getting stronger
26th Wind is the theme today with gusts whistling around nooks and crannies as cold air brings an abrupt fall in temps and gusty spurts of NW can travel quite speedily at times, especially on exposed areas for the next five days.
27th Cloud muggy start better by mid day but returns by evening which looks like a less volatile weather world. Some sudden outbreaks of static in form of sleet or hail could break up finer spells by evening with temps cooler and skies clearer. Winds strong N Westerlies and gusting to high speed sporadically
28th Temps are set to rise today but winds hand out some cold conditions, some easterlies clash with southerlies and NW, so very blustery air flows. Potential for rain around sunrise, scattered showers likely, but I don’t expect too much precipitation to spoil the day.
28th May-4th June
Windy, cold but drier phase but t/storms could break out to some regions, west looks likely area. Short spells of showery outbreaks interrupt dry sunny weather.
28th Sun with cloud and cold temps mists and mizzles near watery places in valleys but any poor weather is moving fast so shouldn’t stay around to spoil things too much. Some sunshine expected during the day. Any static outbursts will soon be over.
29th Today is hard to convey as conditions forecast isolated and heavy downpours for some localities. This is a day when you set off to Otley/Bolton Abbey etc from Horsforth/Yeadon in fine weather only to find you end up in a downpour, then get back home to find it was a lovely day and you missed out on the good weather!! Some sunshine and blue sky expected but cloudier evening. Temps moderate though cooler in localities where rain falls.
30th A fairer day average temps with cold pockets in shade, ground may be wet but gusty wins should be drying things out.
31st Could be a shower after midnight but sunnier by sunrise with whippy westerlies lashing your face in exposed areas.
1st More muggy trends southerly breezes keep things getting too cool but brining in cloudiness. Scattered showery conditions but sunny as fast moving cloud travels over.
2nd Watery Neptune stations today but seems to be bringing mists mizzles and haziness to western regions beyond ours. Mod temps with some scattered showery spells but some sunshiny bits as well
3-4th Gusty easterlies arrive for three days sustaining a static outlook and more showery outbreaks. Showery late 3rd and into early 4th. Sun with cloud for 4th which looks like a better day
A FINE WEATHER WEEK HURRAH! VENUS SUN conjunction.
GET OUT THE BBQ! I’m booking away days for this phase which looks like the best of the weather for us for Spring so far. When looking at these charts I always have an eye on the best weeks to book away days and so far have felt that no week looked good enough to guarantee long lasting warmth and less humidity and consistent good conditions. This week ticks all the boxes. A Full Moon usually brings good evenings with fine skies that sees everyone heading for bistro or bar by the river or canal and this week should be no exception. For many days to come it looks like flaming June lives up to its reputation………………..
Some exciting astronomical event for this week will hit the headlines and it will be Venus retrograding over the Sun in the sky which you may recall also occurred in 2004. For us this is extra special as it combines with a sensitive position in one of the charts I use for forecasting temperatures, and augurs a high for our region especially.
2004 saw many floods for the Yorkshire region but a staggeringly dramatic flood for Boscastle by August 16th, in the west peninsular which I had only visited a few weeks before the landslides and huge torrents of water ravaged the tiny village. I’m watching events following this years Venus Sun conjunction on 6th June.
4th Cool but sunny, some easterlies still hovering, but the worst of the mists and mizzles look to be near Dundee, Carmarthen, Lewis and Cork areas not ours.
5th A hot day and some great weather in following days it is only once we get to 10th that some mists and haze or even precipitation around 12-2pm can break up the nice weather.
11th brings in some gusty NW but temps rising high so we’ll see what is coming up for the next phase….read on….
This week continues the good weather trends and summer really settles into some lovely temps and dry weather with some high ozone coming over with blue skies and heady outlook for some fine days. Some gusty winds and breeziness but I doubt they will spoil the outdoor activity and although some scattered spray and showers can be released by the static conditions created by the highs I doubt they will spoil outdoor activity until later in the phase.
11th Slightly unsettled atmosphere can lead to some scattered showers around, some gusty cold NW around but also some blue skies with wool packed clouds temps increasingly warmer as the day progresses
2nd same as yesterday with some gusty westerlies keeping things lively a slight cooling till sun gains strength at mid day
13th Wholesome outdoor conditions along with some easterly flows, some cloud around but higher temp range expected today
14th Temps remain higher range scattered showers over as soon as they begin and quite refreshing
15th -16th weather of previous days should continue with some northerlies around on 15th
17th Brings a high with rising temps and high ozone and some blue sky expected but some warning of a scattered showery outlook after sunrise along with gusty westerlies from today could be some mistiness around near water and in valleys due to higher temps over previous days.
18th Some more cloud around and breezy conditions continue, strong at times
19th A very wet front seems likely to pass over to the eastern parts and could be prolonged precipitation that creates mists and fogs as it travels. High levels of precip expected and the high temps can be a little muggy today, but who cares….summer is clearly on the way and we have just been reminded of that in the previous days…..