Looks like the unusual temperature fluctuations prevalent during 2011 continue throughout this season with sudden lows followed by a rise that brings sunny days and those glorious electric blue skies we have come to enjoy seeing—fantastic for photographers working outdoors.
For 50% of the season we will have some moderate wintry conditions but for 25% we see some extremes of winter causing havoc to regions of the UK. Generally from 22nd December-8th January we see some dominating highs with cold fronts coming down from the north.
I expect 8- 21st January to be extremely cold and frosty with perhaps some blizzards, see daily forecasts for this potential. Once again it looks like the South gets the record breaking temps, while 5th January, 10th and 15th February, approximately, depending where you are in the UK, there will be some icy cold conditions to deal with. March looks more likely to be less volatile with milder conditions around.
While it was March 2011 that brought us some unusually good weather, and April saw temperatures rising to their highest for 340 years, we can expect a similar pattern to unfold in 2012…but more of this for the spring forecast
February looks wet with more mists and fogs and unsettled conditions around from mid month warning of some high levels of moisture and precipitation for a prolonged period beyond February. Though March looks like more of a drought phase.
Spring is earlier rather than later for 2012 and we get some tastes of spring weather from mid February.
Looking at previous similar phases to this one there is a catalogue of weather events attaching to celestial/terrestrial outcomes, so I expect this phase to bring in some fair and some foul conditions, with the latter coming in from the outset to many regions of the UK. In the past snowstorms and heavy sleet has arrived with these conditions, though not necessarily in the W Yorks locality.
I should point out that previous similar epochs to this one brought us the tsunami in the Solomon Islands, an EQ in Kent and in November 2010 heavy blizzards to the UK, I also expect blizzards to some regions of UK for 19th-22nd
Snow looks to already be lying around in eastern areas to us at 18th..Precipitaton during this phase would usually be more likely mid day to midnight with some exceptions as written below.
Seismic conditions still create headlines and the SE of England is singled out this time around, but I don’t have time to date it exactly, but 22nd December stands out as likely.
I am only 90% confident of this forecast due to a lot of conflicting weather triggers.
18th Some N Westerlies active icy temps, winter snow showers highly likely with snow bearing cloud coming over but some sunshine around between showers.
19th Fogs/mists around especially in low lying valleys, clearing mid morning but returning late evening combining with nebulous breezy twirls.
20th Frosty or foggy outlook. Snow clouds again from very early in the morning could bring more wintry fall during afternoon, clearer skies around mid day some mists fog by evening and S Easterlies flows for us with poorer weather to the W and SW of the country.
21st S Easterlies unsettle the outlook and bring scattered winter showers and more snow for high ground. Frosty start with sudden hail or sleet outbursts from 7-8 am for our region clearer skies with some sun mid day, and potential for snow flurries mid afternoon and evening coming in from over western regions.
22nd Icy cold outlook brings in some mists and fogs, very unsettled outlook for today for sure, but some sun outbreaks can keep us optimistic for better days ahead. There will be ice around but also some thawing during daytime so take care of slippery conditions when travelling.
23rd N Westerlies, strong at times, clear away some of gloom and better conditions begin to arrive with sunshine but cold temps during the day. Fogginess around overnight 23/24th
24th Some fair outdoor weather again conditions similar to yesterday but N Westerlies turn into some southerlies making it moist and cooler to North UK, slightly more temperate to S England. Could be a few quick ice sleet or snow outbursts in the afternoon coming in from the West. Looks like we get some sunshine also to herald Christmas Day.
22nd for this phase is cold enough to snow and heralds a few days to follow that are lovely sunny, cold with the bluest of skies…get your camera out…but freezing fog outbreaks could arrive in the evening and overnight with icy or oily conditions on roads and footpaths.
24th December -1st January
This is a Full Moon for Christmas day and on such a day we can generally expect the daytime to be fairer with any poorer weather arriving at night.
Everyone wants to know if it will snow on Christmas Day and in October I was in the local BBC radio studios with one of the TV mets who was asked to say whether snow would arrive today. No answer arrived, and I had to say we both wouldn’t expect snow in Leeds on Christmas Day as it is a highly unusual occurrence. However, I also said I hadn’t yet done the charts for this time of year and now that I have……..well I’m not so sure!
Certainly there is some white stuff around from the start and that is likely a leftover from the previous phase. Some snow can be seen to be forming off the coast of SW Iceland on 24th and definitely heading our way, it’s likely to hit NW Scotland by 25th so they are the lucky ones. or not…! It could arrive here by the afternoon on 25th.. so Santa Klaus looks like sending us a nice timely white gift wrapping…or not if I’m way off the mark. I am 100% sure this is snow arriving however, by the time it reaches us in the afternoon the sun could be strong enough to turn it into sleet or rainy weather, so don’t hold your breath….I only give a 95% forecast that it will snow in Leeds on Christmas Day, and do wish I could be more certain.
25th Brings potential for snow flurries around 3. 45 am , then again another try around 10 30 am, with cloud/mists in valleys but clearer skies by afternoon with sunshine and some southerly flows around. By around 20:15 it is likely that winter snows hail and sleet showers will be around to West and N West.
26th Some sun and cloud in the morning, mists in low lying areas, clearer skies by 5-6pm. Southerlies are still active but temps take a plunge when N Easterlies join in the affray and snow likely again today localised and scattered late evening 22:00 approx. Boxing Day can often be a sunny outdoor day and this looks set to follow the pattern..
27th Potential for snow to continue falling into the early hours 1 am onwards this morning leaving a cold frosty outlook to start the day, sunshine likely by late morning with temps less cold than previous day
28th No precipitation expected here, and it should clear to be a sunny day with some N Westerlies around
29th Slightly milder temps but similar to yesterday some S Easterlies which often make the atmosphere a little muggy.
30th Some frostiness with a quick sharp showery micro and localised outlook potential for mid afternoon, cold nippy temps Strong winds, though variable at times, for the next three days mostly NW clearing the atmosphere.
31st Showery from around 4pm with winds as described yesterday intermittent rain throughout is likely.
1st January 2012 More moderate temps with sunshine during the day but windy conditions as described on 30th.
At this stage the forecast reminds us that from the 5th-10th January whatever else is forecast there will be some unusual daytime highs in temperature values for the season, especially during the day, but with strong night time frosts reacting.
1-9th January 2012
I expect some fine sunny and dry weather generally and 3-5th will have some refreshing atmospheric conditions prevailing, but there will be some windiness as well with tornado potential for 8th ( not in our region probably to south of us) when southerly flows clash with north westerlies. Some static release either thunder or lightening is also likely for some UK regions from the outset of this phase.
Some unusual daytime seasonal wintry ‘highs’ can offset the more frosty conditions expected. There is potential for precipitation to be snow or sleet for this phase. I’m only 90% confident of this forecast as there are a few conditions that could bring blizzards, and with some of the features present in my maps we have seen floods previously, though not in the West Yorkshire region, and I don’t expect any after the 2nd of January……famous last words perhaps! Generally a quarter Moon phase at this time of year should not arouse severe weather……
However, seismicity is high on 8th and regions vulnerable are E of China Japan regions and N Aus area Timor island area
1st Strong gusty westerlies, temps seasonally moderate with hail, sleet and snow showers around 1-2 am, and again 1-3pm but clearer skies by evening but some sunshine to brighten in between.
2nd Easterly wind flows with muggy conditions and potential for more sleet and hail showers 3-4pm Clouds and mists around by evening, especially in the Aire Valley, but by midnight stargazers should get a good clearer glimpse of the world beyond ours…photographers would also get good midnight scene shots.
3rd Breezy spells with moderate temps and some sunshine with cloud but the air will be refreshing and outdoor pursuits more enjoyable in this kind of atmosphere. Even with winter showers which could be around for some localities further east of ours, not ours I don’t think, the air will feel exhilarating and bracing with these kind of conditions.
4th Strong westerlies continue, sun with cloud but clearer skies late at night.
5th Sleet or localised hail showers to the west of us around mid day, but we seem to remain dry. Cool temps greet us in the morning, but it looks like from today until 10th January they begin to go higher than is seasonally usual bringing in some new records. Westerlies turn southerly which also indicates milder temps for the season.
6th Sunny day, some cloud and nebulous breezes. Any winter showers would arrive between 7-9am and if I’m right we see snow to west and rain to east of us by 1-3pm
7th Southerlies and some fogs and mists around from outset with sun breaking through after sunrise quick icy showers likely 10-11pm, strong easterly outlook and a snow bringer harbinger for intermittent winter showers
8th-Should be some sunshine around with strong southerlies seasonally mod-high temps. Fast windy outbreaks likely, Tornado conditions created as mentioned earlier as southerlies conflict with some icy cold strong N Westerlies that can bring snow blizzards. Very nippy conditions in exposed and shaded areas, warmth from sun in sheltered areas. EQ headline expected on 8th—+/- 1 day.
Read on for 9th….the N Westerlies will be strong and icy from 11th onwards on so wrap up warmly. High winds and blizzards are likely to be prominent features weather wise till 21st January t/out UK regions but our main focus is on W Yorks and yonder……
9th- 16th January
Watch the weather change abruptly after 12th this week……..
A sudden jolt arrives by 12th when very icy lows arrive bringing a sudden change in temperature for our region. N W winds are still active on 12th also but these will blow away unwanted cloud leaving some sun and a fresh atmosphere, icy temp pockets in exposed or shaded regions.
Snow is almost guaranteed for 14th and beyond
Blizzards look likely to affect UK regions disrupting traffic and power lines from 8th-21st January.
9th-12th Overall for these days I do expect sunshine along with some unusually rising seasonal temps around, but these also indicate extra cold frosty nights when we see lovely crisp clear skies, but these combinations can also give birth to some freezing fogs and mists as well….winds as outlined above….
11th Frosty start but some sun during the day after early morning clouds and mist. Frost and potential for snow by 23:15 with southerlies active,
12th The warmth begins to be drawn southwards later today leaving us with breathtaking lows and a turn around from the temperatures on previous days. Freezing fogs can cause travel problems from early morning, clearing around mid day for some sun to come out during the afternoon but cold nippy gusty westerlies keep everyone on their toes.
13th Sun with cloudy start, south easterlies bringing in some mugginess and snow clouds forming. Winter showers likely 5-7am looks like snow or sleet blizzards.
14th Cold temps continue with some hope of sunshine during the day but snow bearing clouds release their load by evening with northerlies around late evening to clear up some of the muggy air.
15th Snow likely to continue till early this morning. Looks gloomy for first part of day, clearing slightly during the afternoon, with betters conditions for late evening, cold temps continue.
16th Winter showers around from 6-7 am, and 2-3pm with some sun attempts in between, but still some muggy air around leading to a slight rise in temps on previous days……. 5-6pm brings in a better outlook
Some blue skies with sunshine for some days interrupted with static icy outbursts of hail and sleet, and snow for some UK regions.. Some arctic lows arrive producing mists and fogs in low lying areas.
16th Icy conditions with snow for high slopes, quick winter showers after a gloomy mid day, skies clearing by 6 pm but more winter hail and sleet showers likely and cloud by 8-9 pm static conditions will bring in some reports of lightening showers today/tomorrow for some regions of UK.
17th Temps milder than yesterday but some mists/fog and dullness to start of day, snow potential for south of our region, we get icy showers outbursts 6pm and 8pm approximately, depending on your locality as these are very localised outbursts, but sunshine around in the afternoon.
18th Icy, icy, icy start but some blue skies around sunrise, icy cold outbursts around mid day. Freezing fog around by evening and winter snow and sleet showers arrive late at night
19th Temps slightly milder here than yesterday, static outbursts for some regions, snow on high ground with easterlies creating some unsettled conditions. Sun and cloud with unsettled outlook arriving from west. A blizzard outlook can develop today bringing heavy snowfall to some regions beyond ours especially on high ground.
20th Much the same as yesterday but temps more variable and fluctuating, some clearer skies but icy pockets, but a little warmth from sun, quick icy attempts at showers likely for some localities in our region.
21st Midnight 20th-21st clearer conditions arrive. Sun around with cloud during the day, but arctic lows as weather travels easterly, the evening looks to bring some clearer skies for us but that means temps plunge lower with no cloud cover to keep things warm so frost and ice on roads prevails. The arctic conditions could ward off snow falling in our region today but I can’t be 100% certain, for there is a snowy outlook operating for some areas of UK
22nd Less severe low temps and some sunshine around today. Westerlies begin to prevail after today, growing strong, gusty and nippy over next 24 hours, but temps seem to be less severe and icicles look likely to be keeping everyone entertained today and tomorrow…..so there could be some thaw to iced over waters….
Similar conditions prevailed 31st March 2012 when blizzards hit Lancashire and Ireland got 1 foot of snow in 10 minutes causing chaos, but some modifications exist this time around bringing some variations on the theme back then.
Snow looks likely to hit John O Groats region and winter showers hit SW Midlands with weather pulled from SE to NW from 26th and seismic outbursts a trend for this phase.
23rd Strong westerlies, high speed continue for a few more days with outlook gloomy and rainy from start of 23rd still showery by 6am, clearing for a sunnier outlook by morning. Quick icy showers could arrive by evening with temps seasonally cool.
24th Slightly milder temps today, cloud mists in the early morning sudden showery intervals also. Skies look a little clearer by 10- 11 am so some sun spells expected during the day. Cloud around late evening with snow for high regions likely late evening.
25th Icy winter showery outbreaks, potential for snow flurries for our region, but west of us is likely candidate for heavier outbreaks than we get. Temps cold. Should be some sun conditions by afternoon with skies looking much clearer by 11pm.
26th Very cold weather with more news of winter blizzards could combine sleet and snow. A cloudy morning but sun spells by late afternoon, late evening looks icy and frosty or crisp underfoot so take care while journeying.
27th Southerlies and some easterlies which can bring in muggy conditions along with daybreak mists and fogs. Sun with cloud fro 7 am cloudier by 5pm. Some very heavy winter showers moving across from SE to NW regions. Expect icy showery intervals till late evening continuing into early next day.
28th Windy, icy cold, with ice frst particularly on exposed ground where strong winds can blow N Westerly turning into high speed gusts at times. Sun with cloud by the afternoon, with temps variable today from freezing cold to less severe, clearer conditions by 7pm.
31st Jan – 7th Feb
Some dominating high seasonal temps with lows to Scotland and northern England, westerlies arriving to confirm the outlook. Some misty conditions and showery outlook to the west of UK and unsettled temps make it difficult to predict outcomes for this phase weather wise so far ahead. There’s a lot of contradictory signals weather wise with some icy low freezes offset by some dull, showery, mizzly conditions and a tendency for temperatures to thwart a constant that helps forecast the outcome. I do expect some good outdoor weather though on some days probably the first two days and then for the second half. The first half is dominated by some highly variable conditions that could lead into prolonged heavy winter showers overnight 1st-2nd, with some flood alerts showing for some UK regions and I’m only sorry I never get time to do all the necessary charts to readily locate and follow the weather trends throughout the UK
31st shows some localised quick icy showery outbreaks some sun during the day with late evening mists and mizzles, and cold pockets. Snow or frost not unlikely either, but the air should feel clear if not invigorating.
1st Feb some quick showers lead to a sunny day cloud forming by evening along with more mizzle or quick showery outbursts by 10pm Strong westerlies look likely to break over the west of us and could reach here, temps cool to moderate and varying. I expect some prolonged rainy outbursts as mentioned above from late tonight till tomorrow
2nd The rain could continue from last night until a final shower outburst lasting 2-3pm. Southerlies combine with easterlies echoing the forecast for the unsettled weather.
3rd Cool to moderate variable temp conditions sunshine with cloud during the day and a quick shower potential around 4 pm with some more cloud around late evening. breeziness could arise also
4th-5th I expect today and tomorrow to be a little more settled with some sunshine and warmer temps especially with sun around to cheer everyone up, cold temps on high places and in sheltered areas. More cloud around by 8pm on 5th
6th-7th A dry day, sunshine and cloud clearing enough to allow some blue skies, cold pockets, breezy sudden spurts of NW winds lower temps in high places with potential for snow on high ground a few flutters here not beyond the bounds of expectation. Some localised icy winter shower outbreaks by evening approx clearer outlook after 6pm. Exposed regions will have some strong pockets of wind blowing downslopes, gusty at times.
This phase brings a long ranging change from fair to not so good from halfway through. Overall the mists and dull weather remind us of November’s mists and mugginess as we move towards Valentine’s Day! Temps will be variable damp air can be a little cloying if not oppressive particularly the by the 9th onwards with prolonged precipitation likely from late on 12th into early hours of 13th raising water levels in some rivers and we can expect a warning of disruption to travel as a result. Mists and fog, mizzly muggy outlook for second half can also interfere with air travel as well.
Again I’m looking at some conflicting evidence for weather, some of which dictates snow and frost, others that forecast mistiness, mizzles and milder temps that deny a snowy or icy outlook so a difficult weather chart to be confident of for this phase, but I do expect the prolonged precipitation on 12-13th and I also expect at least one if not more river to burst its banks and create problems for motorists from the outset, air travel will also be affected by fogs and mists at some airports particularly for the second half of this phase.
6-7th as previously describes
8th Cold start with frosts mists or even snow around in high places, but sunshine brightens up the middle part of the day, with temps growing moderate, but colder by evening when cloudy skies are around.
9th-10th Mists and fog around, some scattered often localised hail and sleet or winter showers with temps variable, climbing slightly higher on 10th but the outlook is increasingly unsettled. Cold to frosty conditions at night with southerlies clashing with cold northerlies and gusty westerlies trying to sort out the weather, but not succeeding, by late 10th. Temps can be unusually mild for this time of year but the air will be a little oppressive as a result.
11th Showers likely around mid day, some sun could break through later afternoon, but more gloom around by evening. Humidity levels are high…
12-13th Oppressive air rules and damp conditions can be chilly with muggy, misty mizzly conditions expected to culminate in prolonged if not abnormal precipitation from tonight into early morning on 13th, not nice conditions for these two days, though sun may breakthrough clouds late on 13th when easterlies prevail
The worst of the floods should be coming over and I expect many areas to be affected by this heavy precipitation which will see heavy amounts fall in a short space of time helping February match if not beat its record set for England and Wales in 1848.
A weather system moves down from the Isle of Foroyar to NW Scotland from 14th, and is followed by a cold icy weather flow forming off the S E coast of Iceland bringing some cold icy conditions to northern highlands travelling S Easterly down Great Britain for this phase.
14th Rain will be travelling eastwards and flood warnings continue, some in our region from yesterday, some static outbursts and lightening could accompany this flow with drains overflowing and roads affected. Cool temps with some cold pockets around. Some sunshine with cloud during the day.
15th N Westerlies around today, strong at times, mild to mod temps for season, some sunshine around but rain expected by 7-8pm
16th mod temps during the day but icy by night time, cloud with sunshine winds NW can be strong and speedy and lashing, gales likely.
17th Some gloom fogs and mists before sunrise clearer by 7 am, cold outlook but bluer sky outlook by 9 am with sunshine arriving auguring a nice sunny day mild temps a little cloud around and some southerly intrusions into the less active whippy westerlies bringing in some cloud for the evening.
18th Expect early morning showers, clouds and mists around from night before, some cool temps but clear skies with sunshine during the day. Strong if not high speed winds expected by today, very unsettled conditions prevail with clear skies soon clouding over then clearing again.
19th Variable temps today, some sunshine, variable winds, mists and mizzly evening weather, followed by more very heavy rain 7pm approx.
20th Clearer skies today, after a misty muggy start, with a cold nippy outlook during the day, zippy westerlies strong at times, and rain coming over to the south western parts of UK today.
21st Dry but icy pockets mingle with some mild to mod temps in sunshine. Cloudy by evening with rain to west leaving us dry.
21st Feb -1st March 2012
Outlook is for some fine weather interrupted by scattered showery intervals, temps look mostly moderate for the season but some icy pockets around. Some windy weather expected with strong if not gales for us by 26th. I don’t expect high levels of precipitation to reach flood capacity, in fact many winter showers look light if frequent, but 26th-27th looks to bring heavier rain but this will clear the air and provide refreshing conditions that make even a wet walk in the wood seem uplifting, though the strong winds might make it a little risky in case of dead branches being blown off…..
Seismic conditions herald a large EQ for end of this phase, and 1st is likely time with Spain, SE of Madrid and France looking to be affected.
21st As already outlined in previous phase, I expect winter showers to be travelling over here in the morning and moving over to eastern parts by afternoon leaving chilly temps in their wake, some little warmth in sun but mostly cold with southerlies and some easterlies around. Some mistiness and cloud around by evening in valleys and especially to regions to the east of W Yorks.
22nd Icy showers before sunrise and mid afternoon, clouds around clearing by 9 pm some sunshine breaks during the day, temps seasonally moderate, breeziness prevails with air currents strong to the easterly quarter.
23rd Quick spartan icy showery along with sunny outbreaks 9am and later in day, not long lasting, gusty westerly windy weather continues into today, fair temps around but icy showers keep things wintry. By 9pm still windy, fair outlook and still showery outbreaks which continue to be localised and scattered until next morning.
24th Sun with cloud by late morning should remain drier today but a strong northerly keeps temps cool
25th A sunny and bright day, though winter sleet showers around 10 am expected. Cold temps as strong northerlies give way to some winds westerly, strong and gusty from the outset but these turn to south westerlies by 2 pm, and will build to stronger outburst as day progresses Mists and cloud by 8pm.
26th-27th Cooler temps, strong windy weather that can bring gale strengths into play, 7 am on 26th brings showery conditions with more cloud forming by 1pm more rainy outbreaks overnight into 27th when intermittent rainy spells refresh the air but keep things wet wet wet. Some south easterlies coming in on 27th also
28th Should be more settled outlook, moderate temps winds can still be brisk.
29th Quick showers expected around 9 am, temps icy lots of cold pockets rolling down from north and a frosty outlook highly likely by evening. Winds gusty North Westerly strong and speedy at times. Some sunshine expected for today.
1st March Temps moderate for season during the day but frosty cold at night winds variable but very strong and high speed at times, showery outbreaks from 2am and again risk of more by 10pm
1st-8th March 2012
Thunderstorms and lightening are signalled during this phase, with spring temps warming up a little to boost hopes of better weather to come….Some mistiness expected for 6-8th and strong winds from outset with Market Harborough region likely to experience on 5th, some unusual if not record breaking weather, near tornado type wind activity or wind clashes are prevalent during this phase. There is a promise of a little good outdoor weather but this could quickly change leaving you exposed to some rapid changes that catch you out, so be warned that nothing is to be left for granted weather wise…mistiness can arise 6-8th but clearer outlook afterwards…..
1st Strong winds expected with easterly flows in the mix, temps moderate with some cool pockets coming downslope by the evening, mistiness around cloud and some lightening or static outburst expected for today, icy showers if not hail by 11pm also. Outlook is seismic for today +/- 2-3 days.
2nd N westerlies around strong at times, some variable mix of winds produce easterly and southerly clashes as well, squally winds expected. Temps vary from cool to moderate but much cooler by evening, a very unsettled outlook again, with risk of more static outbursts by evening. Showers look to be localised and scattered 7-9pm short and sharp but heavy at times. Some sunshine with cloud, but no guarantees…
3rd Mod temps but some cold pockets around especially in exposed high places, broody southerlies around today and tomorrow, sun, cloud, wind and rain expected, a kind of all weather outlook
4th Variable winds strong at time, strong easterlies to start with, followed by strong westerlies whizzing about, SE by afternoon and SW by evening. Cloudy, but sun at the start of the day, misty showery outlook overall, with conditions a bit murkier to the west of our W Yorks region, looks like some clearer outlook for us by 8pm, but don’t hold your breath…a quick showery outbreak could also arrive at this time too….
5th This day heralds sudden weather changes and static outbursts with intermittently strong NW winds likely, and cold pockets around in spite of some warming trends as sun gains strength. Better outlook by mid day with some sunshine around and warmth if sun gets out….
6th Cold from very early but milder later. Mists arrive today but also milder temps, with cloud around for the most part during the day. Can’t see much sun but I could be wrong…this is a cold November day today…
7thMuch milder today with a spring outlook developing should remain dry with some sun attempts to let us know the earth is quickening and summer is on its long journey into the northern hemisphere… Should stay dry but breezy
8th The bad weather travels NW to SE today and a clear outlook with sunshine expected…….
Time allowed only a brief tour for this phase. So not a daily forecast unfortunately…
Mostly a dry phase but there will be reports of t/storms for some UK regions, we may be lucky and avoid such outbreaks locally. The phase looks mostly dry and spring like with warming temps to bring out plant growth but some strong winds at time predominantly westerly, remainig breezy in between the strong bouts of windy weather.
Rain is most noteable on 9th and 14th and some rumblings of t/storms likely 14th-16th as spring continues its journey into the northern hemishpere. 11-12th is when temperatures will rise but this leads to static oubreaks in days afterwards depending where you are in the UK.
This phase brings in some fine serene outdoor weather, especially to eastern parts, but also it is characterised by strong and sometimes gale force winds mostly West and N Westerlies, Some drying trends and unsettled conditions with the sun moving North on 19th. I expect news reports of strong gales causing disruptions to power lines around 18/20th, depending on your UK region, as well as to traffic, probably Scotland again, but high lying regions generally to north also affected. Precipitation more likely mid day to midnight for this phase. Extreme west UK and GB coastal regions such as Caenarvon, Pembroke Cornwall NW Scotland etc look likely to be worst hit by the strong winds for this phase.
16th Temps on the rise strong N Westerlies often gusty and strong and lasting next couple of days. Some sunshine expected and mostly dry weather, the rise in temp could lead to some static outbursts.
17th Winds strong continuing gusty intervals, risk of showery outbreaks today, heavier to west of our region but winds could fetch rain here. The low pressure looks south east at this stage.
18th The weather looks more unsettled, with sunshine and cloud, with winds not knowing whether to stay or go. Temps can be cold but some warmth from sunshine and rain is definitely around our region in the afternoon especially when dark clouds can reign, and could be heavy at times, but I see no risk of floods from this level of precipitation.
19th Sunshine and fair weather clash with some passing gloomy clouds but winds look to be strong enough to take away any darkening of the skies. I expect some blue skies to prevail today and tomorrow.
20th Strong gusty sometimes high speed winds expected to rev up again, N Westerly, some blue skies to brighten up the outlook, but cold, but after today temps could heat up to remind us that summer is just around the corner….
21st Sun with cloud around but high temps expected could lead to quick showery outbreaks by evening…….winds look less active by today…
22nd Sunshine, blue sky and N Westerly spurts keeping temps exposed to cold pockets, hail or fast sleet showery outbreaks but will be short lived. Winds turn more high speed and westerly by afternoon. Brisk south westerlies begin to blow in for tomorrow…..